Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.393028 0.445280 0.503736 0.574331 0.657735 0.753702 0.873297
2024-10-06 0.318327 0.388345 0.474426 0.589546 0.741795 0.939619 1.221808
2024-10-13 0.269805 0.346597 0.447547 0.593078 0.802863 1.103141 1.582680
2024-10-20 0.232552 0.310461 0.418188 0.582792 0.836946 1.230942 1.924205
2024-10-27 0.206056 0.283902 0.396146 0.576300 0.871520 1.362882 2.308439
2024-11-03 0.193372 0.274685 0.396824 0.602706 0.961165 1.603820 2.966555
2024-11-10 0.179391 0.261375 0.388824 0.612832 1.024009 1.811861 3.639732
2024-11-17 0.164089 0.244047 0.371879 0.604485 1.050898 1.956772 4.233853
2024-11-24 0.149940 0.226954 0.353077 0.589599 1.061744 2.070664 4.802519
2024-12-01 0.140419 0.216380 0.343886 0.590597 1.103915 2.263403 5.671931
2024-12-08 0.134420 0.211021 0.342964 0.606848 1.180902 2.559049 7.006440
2024-12-15 0.127187 0.202819 0.335971 0.609941 1.229504 2.799716 8.320665
2024-12-22 0.118237 0.191023 0.321532 0.596588 1.239620 2.948218 9.437575
2024-12-29 0.113835 0.186960 0.321154 0.612798 1.324654 3.338317 11.838775
2025-01-05 0.108378 0.180484 0.315436 0.616555 1.379635 3.661710 14.282227
2025-01-12 0.101874 0.171531 0.303958 0.605768 1.394323 3.863964 16.360188
2025-01-19 0.096392 0.164073 0.294755 0.598957 1.418656 4.110427 18.993637
2025-01-26 0.094698 0.163687 0.299874 0.626674 1.547749 4.793522 25.387638
2025-02-02 0.091525 0.160161 0.298078 0.637307 1.629509 5.340467 31.936583
2025-02-09 0.086949 0.153524 0.289053 0.628543 1.649374 5.644479 37.178099
2025-02-16 0.082180 0.146186 0.277903 0.612914 1.644101 5.839655 41.912010
2025-02-23 0.079070 0.142001 0.273317 0.613963 1.695000 6.326301 51.123243
2025-03-02 0.077347 0.140526 0.274617 0.631023 1.805984 7.181749 68.062927